Criminalized Peace Are Transnational Crime-Fighting and Peace Processes Compatible?

Several people lined up in line who cover their faces and have their heads covered with green textiles to hide their identity.

Members of a criminal gang who allegedly work for drug traffickers, covering their faces to conceal their identity, stand in formation after surrendering their weapons at a military base in Carepa, Colombia, Thursday, May 21, 2009. About 108 members from the gang known as "Los Rastrojos" surrendered their weapons to the army as part of a peace process in the region. Photo: Luis Benavides / AP / NTB

Status
Completed
Duration
01.12.2021–31.01.2026

Are transnational crime-fighting and peace processes compatible? Does fighting crime in (post)conflict countries in the Global South lead to more peace and security or more violence and instability? This project explored how the internationally driven fight against transnational organized crime supports or undermines peace processes.

Contact

  • Eva Magdalena Stambøl Project leader
  • Maud Hol University of Oslo Administration

About the project

ʻCombat[ing] all forms of organized crimeʼ has become a priority for international policy enshrined in United Nations Sustainable Development Goal 16.4. The assumption underpinning this objective is that organized crime is a spoiler of peace, security, and development, and therefore combating organized crime is necessary to enable peace, security and development. However, this assumption has been questioned by empirical research from (post)conflict and high-level violence contexts around the world: On the one hand, wars on organized crime rarely lead to actual crime reduction, while having a lot of harmful adverse effects like increases in violence and armed conflict, prison overcrowding, and the ʻballoon effectʼ, that is, the spread of smuggling routes to new places and regions. On the other hand, criminalized economies do not always lead to violence and conflict, but can also have pacifying, stabilizing and developmental effects – for example through providing crucial livelihoods to marginalized populations or serving as a bargaining chip in peace deals. 

The Criminalized Peace project has explored, through eight months of fieldwork in Colombia and Mali, how, when, and why transnational crime control sometimes undermines peace processes, yet other times offers an opportunity and pressure for negotiated settlement between warring parties. One project result is how violence and conflict dynamics around criminalized economies are mediated through formal and informal agreements peace agreements between armed groups, states and international actors. The project has observed various dynamics which counter mainstream causal assumptions, with major implication for security, crime and peace policy-making. For example, the project found that 'drug traffickers' can sometimes play a key brokering role in formal and informal peace agreements, and smuggling routes may be displaced rather than attracted by armed conflict, thereby upsetting the established idea of a "crime-conflict nexus". Wars on crime, extradition orders, and drug war diplomacy, on the other hand, can undermine and even entirely disrupt peace processes.

Activities

Workshop on criminalized economies, armed conflict and peace processes

Time and place: 15–16 May 2025, Nils Christie’s Corner 8113, Domus Juridica, University of Oslo

The workshop brought together researchers from various academic disciplines to discuss the role that criminalized economies play in armed conflict and violence, and how they can be addressed in order to create peace.

Theme of the workshop

"Combating all forms of organized crime" has become a priority in international politics, enshrined in UN Sustainable Development Goal 16.4. TThe assumption underpinning this objective is that organized crime is a spoiler to peace, security, and development, and therefore combating organized crime is necessary to enable peace, security and development.

However, this assumption has been questioned by empirical research from (post)conflict and high-level violence contexts around the world: On the one hand, wars on organized crime rarely lead to actual crime reduction, while having a lot of harmful adverse effects like increases in violence and armed conflict, prison overcrowding, and the ‘balloon effect’, that is, the spread of smuggling routes to new places and regions.

On the other hand, criminalized economies do not always lead to violence and conflict, but can also have pacifying, stabilizing and developmental effects – for example through providing crucial livelihoods to marginalized populations or serving as a bargaining chip in peace deals.

The workshop discussed the role of criminalized economies in armed conflict, development, and peacebuilding in different regions of the world. The aim was to bring together researchers from various disciplines such as criminology and peace and conflict studies, as well as other relevant fields. The discussion at the workshop was intended to result in a special issue of a journal.

Participants

  • Eva Magdalena Stambøl

Publications

  • Stambøl, Eva Magdalena; Tobias, Berger,; Lohne, Kjersti & Solhjell, Randi (2025). Travelling Justice and Global Criminology. Power Dynamics and Contestations in Global South-North Relations. In Cavalcanti, Roxana Pessoa; Fonseca, David S; Weis, Valeria Vegh; Carrington, Kerry; Hogg, Russell & Scott, John (Ed.), The Palgrave Handbook of Criminology and the Global South. Palgrave Macmillan. ISSN 9783031749322. p. 1–20. doi: 10.1007/978-3-031-74932-2_15-1. Full text in Research Archive
  • Stambøl, Eva Magdalena; Sylla, Almamy & Cold-Ravnkilde, Signe Marie (2025). Anticolonial Imaginaries in Mali: The Longue Durée of Sovereignty, Security, and Geopolitics. Geopolitics. ISSN 1465-0045. p. 1–26. doi: 10.1080/14650045.2025.2523411. Full text in Research Archive
  • Wiegratz, Jörg & Stambøl, Eva Magdalena (2023). Afterword: The political economy of countering transnational organized crime in Africa. Trends in Organized Crime. ISSN 1084-4791. 26, p. 474–486. doi: 10.1007/s12117-023-09512-2. Full text in Research Archive

View all works in NVA

View all works in NVA

Funding

Funded by The Research Council of Norway

Project number: 324276

Collaborators

  • Freie Universität Berlin
  • Oxford University
  • Transnational Institute (TNI)
  • Global Initiative against Transnational Organized Crime (GI-TOC)
Norwegian version of this page
Published Oct. 22, 2024 5:41 PM - Last modified Mar. 18, 2026 10:26 AM